India's Economy--On the road to recovery

Analysts say the robust growth in steel, cement sales as well as in manufacturing recently showed the worst maybe over. New Delhi : -->
India's economy, which has been hit harder than expected by the global recession, may be on the path to recovery, some recent data suggests.
Asia's third-largest economy is expected to have grown less than 7 percent in 2008/09, sharply lower than the expansion of 9 percent or in each of the previous three fiscal years, and is poised to expand at the same pace in the fiscal year ending March 2010.
Some analysts say the robust growth in steel and cement sales as well as in manufacturing in recent months showed the worst maybe over for the economy.
The following looks at the growth outlook for the South Asian economy and the pace of its economic recovery.
WHAT EVIDENCE IS THERE THAT WORST MAY BE OVER FOR THE INDIAN ECONOMY?
A slew of data in recent weeks has shown that a tentative recovery is taking shape. The ABN AMRO Bank purchasing managers' index (PMI) based on a survey of 500 companies, rose to 53.3 in April from March's 49.5, climbing above the threshold of 50 that separates expansion from contraction.
This was the first expansion in factory output in five months and showed demand in the economy is returning.
Data also signalled that demand in India's hinterland is firm and is supporting a vast expanse of the economy. Cement sales have grown at near double-digit rates since November, consumer goods sales have seen strong support from rural markets, while auto demand has firmed after a disastrous December quarter.
Wholesale price inflation shows demand has not fallen as anticipated and prices were holding firm.
Industrial output, which accounts for nearly a quarter of India's gross domestic product, has shown signs of revival after a dismal March quarter. January's initially reported fall was revised to a rise of 0.4 percent.
Economists said stimulus packages announced by the government since late last year, along with aggressive policy easing by the central bank, look to be making an impact given improved car sales and uptrend in cement and steel demand.
They also say robust performance of consumer goods and capital goods, a key barometer of activity, in the February industrial output report showed that there is demand.
Analyst say savings and investment rates, which have reached close to 40 percent due to the structural changes in the economy, would enable it to sustain an investment rate of 35 percent despite lower capital inflows.
The main stock index has rebounded more than half from its 2009 trough in early March. Foreigners bought $1.5 billion worth of shares in April and another $296 million on Monday, after heavy outflows in January and February.
WHAT IS THE OUTLOOK FOR GDP GROWTH IN 2009/10?
Domestic ratings agency ICRA says the economy is likely to grow 6.5 to 7.5 percent in 2009/10 if the global economy comes out of the slump later this year and as government stimulus starts feeding into the broader economy.
The central bank has forecast 6 percent expansion in Asia's third-largest economy but private analysts have pegged growth lower than that. Any growth below 6 percent would increase unemployment.
WHAT ARE ANALYSTS SAYING ABOUT ECONOMIC RECOVERY?
Rajeev Malik, economist with Macquarie Securities says the largely domestically driven economy will begin to recover palpably from mid-year onwards. "The double-cyclinder fiscal and monetary response has been aggressive and already paying dividends."
Investment bank UBS said in a research note that its lead economic indicator had climbed for three months in a row which signalled a strong likelihood of an upturn in industrial activity by June.
Robert Prior-Wandesforde, economist at HSBC, wrote in a research report that there were a number of reasons to be positive about India's growth prospects.
"Individually, none of them are hugely powerful, but collectively they should drive a recovery later this year which is likely to gain momentum in 2010."
IS THERE DATA STILL SUGGESTING FURTHER DETERIORATION?
There is still some data which shows that the global slowdown has taken a heavy toll. Exports declined by a third in March to $11.5 billion, its sixth straight monthly fall and economists say the global economic slump would further dent Indian firms' foreign sales in the months ahead.
Consumer prices still remain elevated and the Reserve Bank of India said inflation based on various consumer price indices continues to be near double digits, reflecting a firm trend in food prices.
WHAT ARE THE RISKS AHEAD THAT MAY HURT GROWTH?
Political uncertainty remains a short-term risk.
Emergence of a weak coalition could lead to policy limbo, which in turn may hurt the economy.
The high fiscal deficit of central and state governments, which according to some observers has reached nearly 10 percent of gross domestic product, could prove to be an obstacle to growth and undermine the Reserve Bank's aggressive rate cuts.

Genpact says worst is over

New Delhi: Genpact Ltd, a business process outsourcing firm, said it expects the IT budget decisions that were delayed in the previous quarters to pick up speed in the coming months as several of its clients have a clearer picture of their businesses.
Pramod Bhasin, the chief executive of Genpact, told DNA, "I think people know that they have hit bottom. I don't know when recovery will happen. However, we are seeing many of our customers hit bottom and bottom out, which allows decision-making to take place."
The company said banking, financial services and insurance (BFSI), healthcare and horizontals such as supply chain, finance and accounting are helping it tide over the slowdown. "We are starting to see traction in our end-to-end projects with five new projects commencing this quarter and over 70 projects at various stages of discussions," Bhasin said in an analyst call.
Meanwhile, the Gurgaon based company said it still expects some decline in discretionary spend by clients, higher deletions in some business processes due to client volume contractions, price drops and slower ramp-ups.
Clients continue to delay decision-making on projects as they focus on redefining their business and operating models, the company added. "What is happening is that companies are going through a tough time and this has pressure on pricing. The automobile vertical is still growing. (But) It is not a big enough vertical for us. It contributes about 5% to our topline," Bhasin said.
Genpact said it is also helping clients on transition costs and is billing them over the period of the contract and not upfront.
On Tuesday, the company reported a sales growth of 13% at $266 million in the first quarter ended March 31. Its adjusted income from operations stood at $42 million, growing 48% due to cost cutting measures that helped improve margins.
Genpact's capital expenditure in the quarter was $14 million or 5% of quarterly revenues, which it is expected to sustain in the coming quarters of 2009.

Inflation Ticks up, RBI May pause on rates

RBI has forecasted wholesale inflation to be around 4.0 percent by the end of the 2009/10 fiscal year next March.New Delhi : -->
A third straight rise in India's annual inflation rate as some price pressures emerge may see the Reserve Bank pause in its rate-cutting cycle, although analysts still expected a negative reading in coming weeks.
The wholesale price index , India's most widely watched inflation measure, rose 0.70 percent in the 12 months to April 25, led by food and manufactured product prices,
It was above the previous week's annual rise of 0.57 percent, and a touch above market forecasts for a 0.65 percent rise.
"Inflation will still go into negative territory, maybe as early as end May," said Sujan Hazra, chief economist at Anand Rathi Securities in Mumbai.
"But week-on-week prices are hardening and this is likely to continue for the next 2-3 months, making it harder for the RBI to cut interest rates in the near term."
The Reserve Bank of India has said the annual inflation rate could turn negative because of the rapid acceleration in prices this time last year, but has discounted the threat of deflation because consumer prices are still strong.
It has forecast wholesale inflation to be around 4.0 percent by the end of the 2009/10 fiscal year next March.
"It is not a real concern for monetary policy at this stage as inflation expectations have softened considerably," said Han-Sia Yeo, currency and rates strategist for ANZ Bank in Singapore.
Financial markets were largely cool to the data with the 10-year bond yield edging up one basis point to 6.31 percent and the rupee largely unchanged at 49.25/26 per dollar.
The wholesale price based-inflation rate has fallen sharply since peaking at just under 13 percent in August, but annual consumer price inflation in February was 9.63 percent, as prices of food products remain firm.
Last month, the Reserve Bank of India cut its key rates and again urged commercial banks to follow suit to shore up growth, which has been hit harder than expected by the global downturn.
The Reserve Bank of India expects the economy to expand by about 6 percent in 2009/10, down from 9 percent in the past few years as the global recession impacts key sectors.
A member of India's Planning Commission, which charts five-year growth plans for the economy, said on Friday he expected growth of 7-7.5 percent in 2009/10.
In the past few weeks a slew of data has pointed to a nascent recovery as stimulus measures and the central bank's previous rate cuts feed into the broader economy.

Yash birla group plans to acquire a Diesel manaufacturing company

The company is eyeing an acquisition in the range of Rs 500 crore to be funded through debt and equity.New Delhi : -->
Yash Birla Group owned generator manufacturer, Birla Power Solutions (BPSL), is planning to acquire a diesel engine manufacturing company, reports Business Standard. The company is eyeing an acquisition in the range of Rs 500 crore, the report adds, quoting a senioe executive of the company. The size of the acquisition would, however, depend on the horse power of the engines manufactured by the company.
BSPL is looking at acquiring a company manufacturing diesel engines of capacities ranging between 25 horse power and 200 horse power. The acquisitions will be funded through a mix of debt and equity, where, equity will contribute to about 20% of the total funds required.
The report also says that BSPL is looking at acquiring companies in the domestic market that have foreign stakes or those that have good products but do not have adequate marketing expertise. It aims to provide better marketing and sales operations to such companies.
Besides this, the company also plans to enter the diesel generator, petrol, LPG and kerosene segments. The company is also exploring a green-field venture in the renewable energy space.
The company plans to increase the number of its Birla Power Shoppe outlets in India from the current 60 to about 250 by March, next year. It is also planning to expand its presence across 40 cities in the country by 2010. BSPL is targeting to sell 100,000 generators in two years. It will also aim at achieving a turnover of Rs 500 crore by 2011-2012 by increasing its production capacity.
BSPL was set up in 1984 in collaboration with Yamaha Motor. Yamaha Motor’s stake in BSPL was bought by the company in 2002. It is currently a Rs 2,500-crore company and reported a turnover of Rs 223 crore for the financial year 2008-09.

Inflation ticks up, RBI may pause on rates

NEW DELHI (Reuters) - A third straight rise in India's annual inflation rate as some price pressures emerge may see the Reserve Bank pause in its rate-cutting cycle, although analysts still expected a negative reading in coming weeks.
The wholesale price index , India's most widely watched inflation measure, rose 0.70 percent in the 12 months to April 25, led by food and manufactured product prices,
It was above the previous week's annual rise of 0.57 percent, and a touch above market forecasts for a 0.65 percent rise.
"Inflation will still go into negative territory, maybe as early as end May," said Sujan Hazra, chief economist at Anand Rathi Securities in Mumbai.
"But week-on-week prices are hardening and this is likely to continue for the next 2-3 months, making it harder for the RBI to cut interest rates in the near term."
The Reserve Bank of India has said the annual inflation rate could turn negative because of the rapid acceleration in prices this time last year, but has discounted the threat of deflation because consumer prices are still strong.
It has forecast wholesale inflation to be around 4.0 percent by the end of the 2009/10 fiscal year next March.
"It is not a real concern for monetary policy at this stage as inflation expectations have softened considerably," said Han-Sia Yeo, currency and rates strategist for ANZ Bank in Singapore.
Financial markets were largely cool to the data with the 10-year bond yield edging up one basis point to 6.31 percent and the rupee largely unchanged at 49.25/26 per dollar.
The wholesale price based-inflation rate has fallen sharply since peaking at just under 13 percent in August, but annual consumer price inflation in February was 9.63 percent, as prices of food products remain firm.
Last month, the Reserve Bank of India cut its key rates and again urged commercial banks to follow suit to shore up growth, which has been hit harder than expected by the global downturn.
The Reserve Bank of India expects the economy to expand by about 6 percent in 2009/10, down from 9 percent in the past few years as the global recession impacts key sectors.
A member of India's Planning Commission, which charts five-year growth plans for the economy, said on Friday he expected growth of 7-7.5 percent in 2009/10.
In the past few weeks a slew of data has pointed to a nascent recovery as stimulus measures and the central bank's previous rate cuts feed into the broader economy.

U.S. economy to turn up later this year: Bernanke

WASHINGTON, May 5 (Xinhua) -- U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress Tuesday that the economy will begin to rebound later this year but the recovery will probably be slower than usual.
"We continue to expect economic activity to bottom out, then to turn up later this year," said Bernanke in prepared testimony to the Congress' Joint Economic Committee.
He noted that the housing market is beginning to stabilize and that the sharp inventory liquidation that has been in progress will slow over the next few quarters.
"Final demand should also be supported by fiscal and monetary stimulus," said Bernanke.
"An important caveat is that our forecast assumes continuing gradual repair of the financial system; a relapse in financial conditions would be a significant drag on economic activity and could cause the incipient recovery to stall," he added.
But the Federal Reserve chief also warned that even after a recovery gets under way, the rate of growth of real economic activity is likely to remain below its longer-run potential for a while.
"We expect that the recovery will only gradually gain momentum and that economic slack will diminish slowly," he said, "In particular, businesses are likely to be cautious about hiring, implying that the unemployment rate could remain high for a time, even after economic growth resumes."
The U.S. economy shrank at an annual rate of 6.1 percent in the first quarter of 2009, slightly smaller than the 6.3 percent drop in the previous quarter.
The worse-than-expected decline marked the third straight quarter of contraction for the world's biggest economy and signaled little improvement in a deep recession.
Many analysts were predicting the U.S. economy would shrink less in the current April-June period as the government's stimulus begins to take hold.

Ojas invest in online campus recruitment website

The firm is an online platform which aims to bring college and companies together for campus recruitment.New Delhi : -->
Early stage venture capital firm Ojas Venture Partners has invested an undisclosed amount in Delhi-based CoCubes, a mangement consulting firm. The firm is an online platform which aims to bring college and companies together for campus recruitment. Gautam Balijepalli, Principal at Ojas, confirmed the investment to VCCircle. He refused to comment further on the deal.
The company's business model involves signing up colleges for an annual fee. Then various companies looking to recruit pay CoCubes on a per campus basis. The company is also looking to reach out to colleges tier-2/3 cities. The company has been co-founded by Harpreet Grover, who was with management consultancy firm Inductis and Vibhor Goyal, previously with Microsoft Research Centre.
CoCubes reduces cost of companies and helps them reach out to a larger audience. Some of the companies recruiting through CoCubes are Evaluserve, SRF, Motilal Oswal, Thinklabs, etc.
Balijepalli and Raghu Batta, partner at Ojas, have joined the board of CoCubes. Other investors in the company include Amanjeet Saluja (Vice President - Ocwen Financial Solutions), Nikesh Shah (Business Manager, Europe – Infosys BPO) and Rajiv Raghunandan (Practise Lead - Infosys), as per its website.

Ojas Ventures, a $35 million fund, has till now invested mainly companies serving the mobile & telecommunications segment. It has invested in Tyfone Inc (mobile payment/banking co), Ziva Software (engaged in products and services in the mobile search domain), Telibrahma (mobile digital media company), etc.

MNCs on a Delisting Mode

This is the second round of such delisting trend which was observed around 8-10 years ago when the markets had tanked. New Delhi : -->
A number of multinational firms whose Indian susbsidiaries are listed on the local stock exchanges are in the process of delisting. This is the second round of such delisting trend which was observed around 8-10 years ago when the markets had tanked and numerous MNCs found an opportunity to exit from the Indian bourse. But the rise in the stock market could make such delisting offers unsuccessful.
The firms who have over the last few months announced delisting offers or buyback offers which would ultimately lead to delisting include names like South Korean confectionery maker Lotte India, drug maker Novartis, Mylan owned Matrix Labs.
US generics drugmaker Mylan is the latest to offer to buy back 24.8% of Matrix Laboratories at an indicative price of Rs 150 which is the same level at which it is trading currently at the stock exchange. Matrix Labs scrip has moved up 30% since the time Mylan first indicated that it is coming up with a delisting offer. On the day Matrix Labs informed the stock exchange about the offer from Mylan to buyout the minority shareholders, the stock opened 20% up compared to the previous days closing and has moved up further 8% to Rs 152 as against the indicative offer price of Rs 150/share. Mylan holds 71.2% in Matrix and Indian founder of the firm N Prasad hold around 5% in the company.
Korean FMCG firm Lotte came up with a revised offer last month. It had last year rejected the price of Rs 825 determined by the reverse book building process(through which such delisting is to be implemented) as it considered it too high. The new ‘indicative’ offer price is pegged at Rs 370/share. Given that the ruling price is Rs 504 this offer is unlikely to muster any share either.
The latest trend began sometime in 2007 when the markets were still up and has only gathered steam since then. Some of the MNC arms which got delisted over the last 1-2 years include Bosch Chassis Systems, GE Capital Transport, Panasonic AVC, Wartsila and Ray Ban.
Now many others are trying to take that route to get rid of stringent listing norms which require numerous disclosures. MNCs had listed their Indian arms due to a government policy which required them to dilute a part of holding to local investors. Overtime the quantum of equity to be owned by local investors were relaxed and eventually as the economy opened up many MNCs started buying out the investors in these companies.
Stringent Listing Norms; Disclosures Not Go Down Well With MNC's
While the exit of MNCs from the bourses faced some criticism, they had a strong argument against listed. The key reason for someone going public is to raise funds but given their parents backing they didn’t require to raise funds in India. In addition the listing requirements added to costs and also required country specific disclosures which MNCs are not very comfortable with. Given a chance they would like to have just one firm which is the parent firm to be listed in the home market.
As a result a number of MNCs such as Philips, Cadbury, Otis, Carrier, Reckitt Benckiser to name a few delisted themselves around a decade back. That was also the time when the market was at a low and the MNCs found ready takers to sell out shares.
When the market was in a bull run such delisting offers almost dried up and barring a few exceptions there were not many delisting offers. This was because of two reasons-- rising cost of buying out the shares and less probability of successful open offer as many investors tend to expect the share price to go up and look for a significant premium to the ruling stock price.
Infact some investors (largely punters) usually do not participate in open offers expecting the MNC to keep raising offer price. As a result in many companies --even those who have got delisted-- have some public shareholders who refuse to sell out and ask for ever higher premium to tender their shares.
Over the last one year some MNCs have found an innovative way to get round the problem of unsuccessful buyout offers. They were also helped by the market crash which forced many punters to look at selling out at a reasonable price.
As per the strategy, first used by Bosch Chassis Systems and GE Capital Transport, MNCs started disclosing the maximum ‘acceptable’ price for delisting. Although, some firms in the past have given an indicative price for delisting higher than the floor price these two were probably the first where they have given the maximum acceptable price. While the shareholders are still free to ask for a higher price, in these cases, the maximum acceptable price disclosed by the acquirers has become the final discovered price by default.
Delisting Norms
The delisting norms require acquirers to follow a price discovery mechanism through the reverse book building route. As per this all minority shareholders tender their shares asking for a price without any ceiling. The acquirers discloses the ‘floor’ price which is determined as the average of the preceding 26 weeks traded price quoted on the stock exchange where the equity shares are most frequently traded. The price at which the maximum number of shares are tendered becomes the exit or discovered price for delisting. It is upto the acquirers to accept or reject this discovered price. If they reject the price than the company stays listed.
In both Bosch Chassis and GE Capital Transport, the maximum acceptable price disclosed by the acquirers eventually became the final discovered price. It is argued that minority investors figure out that the premium that they are going to get over the existing market price may not be available if the acquirer rejects a price which is above its ‘acceptable’ price. As a result most shareholders tender their shares at that price even as they are free to ask for a higher price.

US showing first signs of recovery, says Wipro chief Premji

India's third largest software company Wipro on Thursday said they are hopeful of some signs of recovery in the second half for the IT outsourcing services sector.
"We are seeing the first signs of stability in the US," Azim Premji, chairman of the $5 billion company, said agreeing that the second half of the present fiscal will be better than the first.Wipro on Thursday inaugurated a product qualification and compliance facility in Bangalore which was inaugurated by former President A P J Abdul Kalam. Owing to the global financial meltdown, most clients have already cut the IT budgets which has affected the Indian IT outsourcing industry.According to Wipro, the second half of the fiscal is expected to see some kind of a recovery. Girish Paranjpe, joint CEO of Wipro's IT business, said he was expecting no further cuts in the IT budgets of clients unless any drastic development took place.Regarding the pricing pressure, Paranjpe said, "We should complete our pricing discussion with clients by the end of this quarter, after which things will be clear. The product qualification and compliance facility named Tarang is equipped with capabilities of product design centres and manufacturing organisations across the globe. With an investment of around $8.5 million, the facility will offer consultancy, pre-compliance testing and certification services for various geographies in mechanical, thermal, acoustic, safety and reliability. "Wipro's agenda to make innovation more purposeful and customer-centric just got stronger with the launch of Tarang. We are confident this new facility will further enhance our ability to provide fully-integrated product development solutions for our customers," said Paranjpe.

Oil prices may get reduced further

ONE MORE good news before the Lok Sabha election. The rate of diesel may be reduced by Rs 2 soon. The latest effort by the Union government would certainly help it get more votes in the coming Lok Sabha election.
A cut in diesel prices would also reduce the prices of essential commodities like rice, edible oil, fruits, vegetables, eggs, milk, etc.
While speaking to the media, a government official on condition of anonymity said, “Political pressure is mounting on the government to reduce the auto fuel price in the next couple of days before the model code of conduct gets effective. There is a margin to reduce diesel price further but till now there is no such move by the petroleum ministry.
The final authority lies with the Cabinet, which is expected to meet anytime this week.”
The public sector oil companies are presently making a profit of Rs 4.44 a litre on diesel. The Union government reduced fuel prices twice in less than two months. The retail rate of petrol was reduced by Rs 5 a litre, diesel by Rs 2 a litre and cooking gas by Rs 25 for a 14.2 kg cylinder on January 28, 2009. The prices of petrol and diesel were cut off by Rs 5 a litre and Rs 2 a litre, respectively, in December, 2008.
While speaking to the media, a government spokesperson said, “In December last year, the Cabinet had in-principle favoured deregulating petrol and diesel prices and that proposal has not been abandoned.”

Oil prices may get reduced further

ONE MORE good news before the Lok Sabha election. The rate of diesel may be reduced by Rs 2 soon. The latest effort by the Union government would certainly help it get more votes in the coming Lok Sabha election.
A cut in diesel prices would also reduce the prices of essential commodities like rice, edible oil, fruits, vegetables, eggs, milk, etc.
While speaking to the media, a government official on condition of anonymity said, “Political pressure is mounting on the government to reduce the auto fuel price in the next couple of days before the model code of conduct gets effective. There is a margin to reduce diesel price further but till now there is no such move by the petroleum ministry.
The final authority lies with the Cabinet, which is expected to meet anytime this week.”
The public sector oil companies are presently making a profit of Rs 4.44 a litre on diesel. The Union government reduced fuel prices twice in less than two months. The retail rate of petrol was reduced by Rs 5 a litre, diesel by Rs 2 a litre and cooking gas by Rs 25 for a 14.2 kg cylinder on January 28, 2009. The prices of petrol and diesel were cut off by Rs 5 a litre and Rs 2 a litre, respectively, in December, 2008.
While speaking to the media, a government spokesperson said, “In December last year, the Cabinet had in-principle favoured deregulating petrol and diesel prices and that proposal has not been abandoned.”

Global outsourcing benefited US firms: Nasscom

Bangalore (IANS): Indian IT industry body Nasscom has reacted cautiously to US President Barack Obama’s remarks on outsourcing, saying global outsourcing had benefited US firms that generate over 50 per cent of their business overseas.
“American companies generate more than 50 per cent of their business outside the US. Their workforce is global. To be globally competitive, they also depend on globally shared services,” Nasscom president Som Mittal told IANS on phone from the US.
Welcoming Obama’s observations on protectionism, Mittal said late Wednesday that the US president’s statement would have a positive effect on his country’s economy that is going through a recession after a long time.
“Obama has, in fact, supported the need to avoid protectionism. We have to see how he would prevent job losses without resorting to protectionist measures,” Mittal pointed out.
Citing the latest US state department data on employment, Mittal said job losses in construction, retail and manufacturing were more than in services, especially in the IT space.
“Compared to other sectors, job losses in the US tech sector were 2.2 per cent as against the overall unemployment rate of 7.2 percent. The US administration will not do anything that would harm its industry or economy, which is driven by the technology leadership its companies enjoy,” Mittal noted.
Asked what impact Obama’s statement on outsourcing would have on the Indian IT and BPO (business process outsourcing) industry, which has been reeling under global recession and financial meltdown in the US, Mittal said he had not seen any specific proposal to the contrary.
“We have not seen any specific proposals to the contrary. The people here (in the US) are more concerned about healthcare, energy, saving jobs and economic recovery than outsourcing, on which Obama used only nine words,” said Mittal.
Admitting that the economic downturn had created turmoil worldwide impacting businesses and job creation, Mittal said global sourcing had helped (US) companies gain the vital competitive edge — time-to-market, transformation of businesses, integration of processes, reduce costs and enhance efficiency, which were key drivers for economic revival, worldwide.
In his first address to the joint session of the US Congress in Washington Tuesday, Obama said there would be no tax breaks to US companies that outsource their jobs abroad.
Earlier, in a statement from New Delhi, Nasscom said it was heartening to note that Obama had supported the need to "avoid protectionism" in his speech.
“This is not the time for protectionism but for global collaboration, if the world is to come out of this economic downturn quickly. We hope that all other countries would support this and continue to be proponents of free trade,” Nasscom said.
Countries the world over have been promoting local investment through tax incentives for job creation while supporting international trade.
Quoting reports by leading analysts, Nasscom said job losses in the tech sector was the lowest in the US, as compared to unemployment in the manufacturing, retail and construction sectors.
“The technology sector is a part of the global value chain and while affected by the downturn, is still expected to grow,” Nasscom added.

IIM-A placements: Dull start

It seems the global meltdown will have an impact on placements at the Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad (IIM-A) this year, too. There was a general air of disappointment at the institute on Wednesday - Day Zero of final placements for 2009 - as only 9 companies had turned up for recruitment.
Sources said this was 16 companies less than the number that had turned up for recruitment at IIMA on the first day of placements last year. Placement officials at the institute, however, declined to confirm or deny the figures.
Last year, 25 companies had arrived on Day Zero and 65% (i.e., 161 students) of the graduating batch had either received job offers or opted out by the end of the day.
More importantly, this year no investment bank turned up on the first day and the main recruiters were consultancies and marketing companies. The total number of jobs offered to IIMA students on Wednesday was 20.
The mood on the campus was sullen. Sources said that not only were there very few new offers, those made earlier were also now being withdrawn. Moreover, the companies which had arrived on Wednesday did not have more than one job to offer. Talking about the placements, a student said that the situation could not be worse than this.
Dayananda Meitei/ DNA-Daily News & Analysis Source: 3D Syndication

India's inflation rate falls further to 3.36 pc

India's annual rate of inflation fell further in the week ended February 14 to 3.36 per cent from 3.92 per cent the week before, official data showed Thursday.
The inflation rate, based on the official wholesale price index (WPI), stood at 5.66 per cent in the corresponding week of the previous fiscal, statistics released by the industry ministry here showed.
The WPI for all commodities declined 0.1 per cent to 227.8 (provisional) from 228 (provisional) the week before.
The index for primary articles rose 0.1 per cent to 248.1 (provisional) from 248 (provisional) for the previous week, while that for manufactured products declined 0.1 per cent to 199.5 (provisional) from 199.7 (provisional) the week before.
The index for fuel, power, light and lubricants, however, remained unchanged at its previous week's level of 323.5 (provisional).

Inflation at fifteen months low of 3.36 percent, policy rates may ease

Feb 26 (ANI): Inflation declined to a fifteen month low of 3.36 percent during the week ended February 14 against 3.92 percent in the previous week.The 0.56 low was caused mainly due to fall in the prices of food articles like fruit and vegetables, pulses, and some manufactured items, raising hopes of cuts in the key policy rates by the RBI.During the week, prices of food articles like maize fell by five percent, barley by three percent, and fruit and vegetables by two percent while eggs and spices declined by one percent each.Among manufactured products, prices of mustard oil reduced by two percent, and sooji and coconut oil by one percent each.Similarly, aluminium ingots got cheaper by 6 percent, and liquid chlorine by three percent.Meanwhile, the government has assured that the RBI may ease money supply further.Replying to the debate on the interim Budget
in the Rajya Sabha on Wednesday, stand-in Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said, "I am fully concerned that increased public spending may put pressure on the government's borrowing programme and overall credit off take in the economy."Mukherjee said: "There is, however, scope for appropriate compensatory monetary policy options, (which) I am sure will be exercised by the RBI at the right time." (ANI)

Upturn in Indian economy by Oct: PC

New Delhi: Complimenting the resilience displayed by Indian industry in dealing with the slowdown, Home Minister P Chidamabaram said the country's economy is likely to find an upturn by October this year.
"By the beginning of the third quarter of 2009-10, by October, we will find an upturn in the economy," Chidamabaram, who was Finance Minister till November last year, said while presenting the National Tourism Awards here.
"The present downturn is temporary. Our growth rate is expected to be well over seven per cent," he said noting that despite a downturn in global scenario, India has managed to achieve seven per cent growth. He attributed this to domestic consumption and demand.
Commending the performance of Indian businesses and industry during the global downturn, the Minister said India stood out as a "shining example" of a resilient economy when the world was engulfed by economic gloom.
"We owe this resilience of Indian business and economy to its ability to quickly adjust to changing times. But in no other country, I have seen businessmen adjusting so rapidly (to the situation). That is why we were able to hold our head high," he said.
During difficult times, Chidambaram advised that one should take "hard decisions" like cutting prices as a "natural response" to the downturn.

2010 will be the year of recovery: Bernanke

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress on Tuesday the economy is suffering through a "severe contraction" and pledgedBen Bernanke to use all available tools to lift the country out of the recession that already has cost millions of Americans their jobs.
In testimony to the Senate Banking Committee, Bernanke said the economy is likely to keep shrinking in the first six months of this year. Housing, credit and financial crises - the worst since the 1930s - plunged the economy into its worst slide in a quarter-century at the end of last year.
Bernanke hoped that the current recession will end this year, but said there were significant risks to that forecast. Any economic turnaround will hinge on the success of the Fed and the Obama administration in getting credit and financial markets to operate more normally again.
"Only if that is the case, in my view there is a reasonable prospect that the current recession will end in 2009 and that 2010 will be a year of recovery," Bernanke said.
Among the risks to any recovery are if economic and financial troublesin other countries turn out to be worse than anticipated, which would hurt U.S. exports and further aggravate already shaky financial conditions in the United States.
Another concern is that the Fed and other Washington policymakers won't be able to break a vicious cycle where disappearing jobs, tanking home values and shrinking nest eggs are forcing consumers to cut back sharply, worsening the economy's tailspin. In turn, battered companies lay off more people and cut back in other ways.
"To break that adverse feedback loop, it is essential that we continue to complement fiscal stimulus with strong government action to stabilize financial institutions and financial markets," Bernanke said.
In an effort to revive the economy, the Fed has slashed a key interest rate to an all-time low and Obama recently signed a $787 billion stimulus package of increased government spending and tax cuts.
In addition, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has revamped a controversial $700 billion bank bailout program to include steps to partner with the private sector to buy rotten assets held by banks as well as expand government ownership stakes in them - all with the hopes of freeing up lending. The Obama administration also will spend $75 billion to stem home foreclosures.
Those and other bold steps - including a soon-to-be-operational program to boost the availability of consumer loans - for autos, education, credit cards and other things - should over time provide relief and promote an economic recovery, Bernanke said. That program is "about to open," he told lawmakers, without providing an exact date.
Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn., chairman of the panel, and other senators suggested expanding that program overseen by the Fed and Treasury, to help squeezed local governments.
Radical actions by the government since last fall when the financial crisis intensified have relieved some credit and financial strains, Bernanke said

"Slumdog Millionaire" sweeps the 2009 Oscars with 8 Awards

Breaking News! Slumdog Millionaire has swept the 81st Annual Academy Awards, most popularly known as the Oscars, by winning 8 awards. The movie was nominated in 10 (read 9, as it was nominated twice in "Best Song") categories.
The only category in which it lost to "The Dark Knight" was the "Best Sound Editing". Slumdog Millionaire won the "Best Motion Picture", "Best Director", "Best Adapted Screenplay", "Best Cinematography", "Best Sound Mixing", "Best Film Editing", "Best Original Music Score" and "Best Song".
AR Rhaman made history by winning two Oscar Awards for "Slumdog Millionaire". Another Indian Resul Pookutty won the "Best Sound Mixing" award along with his teammates. Rahman won the "Best Original Music Score" and then "Best Song" along with Gulzar for the song "Jai Ho".
Actor Sean Penn won the "Best Actor Award" for "Milk", while the "Best Actress" award went to Kate Winslet for her performance in "The Reader". "Departures" (Japan) won the "Best Foreign Film" award. Another Indian documentary, "Smile Pinki" won the "Best Documentary Short Subject" award at the Oscars.
Here's the complete list of 81st Annual Academy Awards (Oscars) Winners:
Best Motion Picture - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Director - Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Actor - Sean Penn (Milk)
Best Actress - Kate Winslet (The Reader)
Best Supporting Actress - Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
Best Supporting Actor - Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
Best Adapted Screenplay - Simon Beaufoy (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Original Screenplay - Dustin Lance Black (Milk)
Best Cinematography - Anthony Dod Mantle (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Costume Design - The Duchess
Best Art Direction - Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Makeup - Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Visual Effects - Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Sound Editing - The Dark Knight
Best Sound Mixing - Resul Pookutty & Team (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Film Editing - Chris Dickens (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Original Score - AR Rehman (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Original Song - AR Rehman & Gulzar (Jai Ho) - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Foreign Language Film - Departures (Japan)
Best Animated Film - WALL-E
Best Animated Short Film - La Maison en Petits Cubes
Best Live Action Short Film - SPIELZEUGLAND (TOYLAND)
Best Documentary Feature - Man on Wire

India is still the best bet for FDI even in downturn

New Delhi: Even in the midst of a global downturn India is attracting one billion dollar foreign direct investment in a month, which is "encouraging", Secretary in the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion Ajay Shankar said.
Though the overseas inflows have sharply dropped after September this fiscal, the trend has to be seen in the context the credit freeze in major economies of the world, he said. "We are still one billion dollar plus every month... that is when there is huge financial difficulties in the world. That is very encouraging," the DIPP Secretary told PTI. FDI inflows till September averaged between $2.5 and $3 billion a month. Shankar said India has come a long way in the last five years in terms of winning the confidence of foreign investors. "This (drop in FDI) has to be seen in the context of 2003-04," he said. The country received $3.13 billion in 2003-04 while in 2008-09, the monthly inflows averaged above $2 billion.
The government has recently changed the guidelines governing the FDI giving more leeway to overseas investors in sectors where there are ceilings. These include telecom, aviation, defence production and media.
"With this view, the government has been proposed to take up construction and road maintenance activities in urban areas during the annual labour conference," Pandhe said. "This is a good time to improve the condition of our cities and roads and I am quite positive that the government will take up this recommendation. During the conference several State governments also expressed interest in initiating such a scheme," Pillai said. Earlier, Minister of State for Labour and Employment Oscar Fernandes also said the government is considering coming up with a scheme "similar to the NREGS". Asked for a time frame by when the announcement could be expected, Fernandes had said that views are being taken from other ministries as well for checking the viability for such a scheme.
The UPA government had introduced the NREG scheme and made it a priority for reducing poverty in rural areas. The scheme is being administered by the Ministry of Rural Development. A recent sample survey by the Labour Ministry suggested that at least five lakh jobs were lost during October to December last, while trade unions estimate that more than 20 lakh job losses had occurred in the unorganised sector and mostly in the construction field. A ILO report on global trend of employment had predicted 18 million job losses and had called for suitable "labour intensive" measures to check poverty alleviation caused by these job losses.

India remains fastest growing economies in the world, says Kamal Nath

Union Minister of Commerce and Industry Kamal Nath today said that from a national perspective, India will remain one of the fastest growing economies in the world over 2008-09 to 2010-11.
Addressing at the Hero Mindmine Summit, here, on the theme of "Challenges of troubled times: Opportunities and Threats", he further added that along with the BRIC and GCC economies, India will contribute about 35 to 37 per cent of incremental global GDP growth through the calendar years 2008 to 2012.
"We are certainly more integrated to the world economy today. The ratio of total external transactions (gross current account flows plus gross capital flows) to GDP has increased from 46.8 per cent in 1997-98 to 117.4 per cent in 2007-08. These numbers are clear evidence of India's increasing integration into the world economy", Nath said.
Speaking at the Summit, the Minister said the participants that the current global situation may well be an opportunity for India and its captains of industry to innovate, prove their business acumen and move in to fill the space being vacated.
He further added that India is better positioned than most other markets to attract pools of global capital like sovereign wealth funds, long-term insurance and pension assets and infrastructure funds.
During his address, Nath underlined the measures taken by the Government to stimulate the economy viz., additional plan expenditure in the current year for critical rural, infrastructure and social security schemes, reduction of cenvat by four per cent, authorisation to the India Infrastructure Finance Company Ltd. to refinance bank lending for infrastructure projects, pre-shipment and post shipment export credit, government back up guarantee to ECGC, and refinance facility for the National Housing Bank. (ANI)

Indian economy expected to expand by 7.1%

New Delhi, Feb 09: India's economy is expected to expand by 7.1 per cent in 2008-09, slower than last year's 9 per cent, as the global financial crisis hammered manufacturing, financial services and farm sector output.
Mining and other services may, however, act as a prop to the economy, say the estimates released today by the Central Statistical Organisation. Whether or not growth will slow down further next year would depend on continuation of fiscal stimulus, Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia said. "We can continue the fiscal stimulus in the next year. It can be done as part of the full budget...In my view there would be a continuing need for fiscal stimulus and I hope we can do that," he said. Farm sector output is projected to grow by 2.6 per cent in FY'09, slower than last year's 4.9 per cent, manufacturing by 4.1 per cent, down from 8.2 per cent, construction by 6.5 per cent against last year's 10.1 per cent and financing, insurance, real estate, business services by 8.6 per cent against 11.7 per cent. Commenting on the outlook for the Indian economy, Ahluwalia said, "The Indian economy should not be slowing down like the rest of the world." The estimates match the one projected by the Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council and are a tad higher than what the Reserve Bank has estimated. Manufacturing sector growth is likely to drop by half in percentage terms this fiscal. The sector comprises 80 per cent of the country's industrial output, which in turn contributes 25 per cent to the GDP. However, mining and quarrying would grow 4.7 per cent, up from 3.3 per cent; trade, hotels, transport and communication by 10.3 per cent from 12.4 per cent; and community, social and personal services by 8.6 per cent from 11.7 per cent. Electricity, gas and water supply is likely to grow by 4.3 per cent from 5.3 per cent a year ago. Enthused by the numbers, Finance Secretary Arun Ramanathan said, "There is room for optimism. That is what (GDP) numbers indicate." Ahluwalia expects growth to be the same next fiscal. "I think it should be similar to this year -- seven per cent or more would be a reasonable outlook for next year." The final growth figures may not be exactly as projected by advance estimates of the CSO. "The possibility of agriculture figures revising is there. There will be some upward revision in the agriculture figures. There is possibility that there will be some downward revision in services... Net net even with the revision, the GDP would be between 6.8 and 7.1 per cent," HDFC Bank Chief Economist Abheek Barua said. If the national income is evenly distributed among the people, each person will get Rs 38,084 during 2008-09. In other words, per capita income during the current fiscal grew by 14.4 per cent from Rs 33,283 in 2007-08. The CSO numbers present a gloomy picture for steel, which is projected to grow by 2.7 per cent in the April-December period of the current fiscal against 6.4 per cent a year ago. Cement production is also slated to expand by seven per cent in the first nine months of this fiscal against 7.7 per cent in the corresponding period of 2007-08. Also, the production of commercial vehicles witnessed a fall of 15.5 per cent against the growth of 4.8 per cent in April-December 2007-08. Passengers handled in civil aviation decreased by 6.3 per cent against the growth of 20.4 per cent over the period. The farm sector growth is based on anticipated growth of six per cent in horticulture crops, 5.5 per cent in livestock products and six per cent in fisheries. Crisil Chief Economist D K Joshi described the farm growth as on the lines of trend growth rate. "The trend growth rate has been 3 per cent... last year we achieved exceptional growth, now we are back to trend... and then base is also much...Our expectation was 2.5 per cent," he said. Many economists attributed the good numbers for community, social and personal services to increase in government expenditure. Crisil's chief economist said, "The private consumption has gone down and the government consumption has gone up. Lots of government spending, subsidies, oil bonds... so increased government expenditure is what is responsible for this." Private final consumption expenditure at current and constant prices are estimated to grow by 55.1 per cent and 57 per cent, respectively, in FY09 against 55 per cent and 57.2 per cent last fiscal, while government final consumption expenditure may grow by 11.1 per cent and 10.6 per cent, respectively, against 10.1 per cent and 9.8 per cent in FY08. Part of the growth maintained by this category reflects the implementation of pay revision for government employees as well. "The growth in community, social and personal services partly reflects the pay hike which have been implemented and also it constitutes largely of the government services," Abheek Barua said. The country's total national income is likely to be Rs 29,61,249 crore in the current fiscal, showing a rise of 7.1 per cent against 9.1 per cent a year ago. Gross fixed capital formation, which represents fixed assets bought by the government, businesses and households on net basis, is estimated to grow by 34.6 and 32.1 per cent this fiscal against 34 per cent and 31.6 per cent last year. Good GFCF numbers indicate that future business activity will remain strong.
Chambers seek further rate cuts Industry chambers today said Indian economic growth rate of 7 per cent for 2008-09 is a good performance but the government should further slash the interest rates to accelerate the growth momentum which has slowed down due to the global financial turmoil. Given the impact of the global financial meltdown, the government today projected the GDP to decline to 7.1 per cent in the current fiscal, against 9 per cent in 2007-08. "Indian economy was growing much faster even a year earlier. It is important to recover the growth momentum and lower interest rates are a must for that," industry body FICCI said. "While the RBI had lowered its policy rates, banks have started lowering lending rates, we need far more drastic cuts in interest rates," it said. Demanding a third stimulus package to boost the economy, Assocham said despite the negativity in the manufacturing sector and continued liquidity squeeze, the current fiscal is expected to record a growth of close to 7 per cent. "The government should unveil the third stimulus package so that credit access to manufacturing is available between 7-7.5 per cent," Assocham President Sajjan Jindal said. Manufacturing output dips to 7-year low Hit hard by global financial meltdown, the manufacturing sector's growth rate will plummet to a seven year low of 4.1 per cent during the current financial year ending March 31. The official advance estimates of the national income released today reveals that manufacturing sector growth rate will be halved to 4.1 per cent, compared with 8.2 per cent recorded in the previous fiscal. This will be the lowest manufacturing sector growth since 2001-02 when the factory output grew by a marginal 2.5 per cent. The manufacturing sector, since September, has been hit by the financial meltdown, slowdown in domestic demand and declining exports, leading to job loss in various sectors, especially textiles and other labour-intensive industries. The index of industrial production for the first time in 15 years entered the negative zone in October 2008, though it recorded thereafter showing positive growth. Exports, which have a bearing on the manufacturing sector, have been declining since October and the growth rate has remained in the negative zone. In order to boost industry, the government and the RBI have together taken a slew of measures, which include four per cent reduction in excise duty, raising public expenditure and releasing about Rs 3.8 lakh crore into the system, to overcome liquidity shortage.

US jobless claims surge to highest in 26 years

The number of Americans filing for first-time unemployment benefits last week topped 600,000, a level not seen since October 1982, according to a government report released Thursday.
The number of initial jobless claims jumped to a much-higher-than-expected 626,000 in the week ended Jan 31, according to the US Labour Department. That's up from a revised 591,000 in the previous week and the highest level since the last week of October 1982, when jobless claims reached 637,000.
Economists polled by Briefing.com were expecting the number to come in at 580,000 for the most recent week. The four-week moving average for weekly claims totalled 582,250, up from the previous week's revised figure of 543,250.
One economist said that as bad as the report is for the labour markets, the sharp spike in the initial claims could be a peak.
That would indicate the recession is closer to the end than it is to the start, according to Robert Brusca, chief economist at Fact and Opinion Economics, cited by CNNMoney.com.
The number of workers receiving unemployment cheques for one week or more rose to a record 4,788,000 in the week ended Jan 24, the most recent data available. That tops the previous week's record of 4,768,000.
Brusca, the website said, does not think that continuing claims can stay at record levels for much longer, either. The economy fell quickly, and that should lead to a sharper recovery.
Brusca said a sharp recovery would also be facilitated by the government stimulus plan and aggressive monetary policy. The economy has 'extremely low interest rates to help foster a turn around and a lot of fiscal help coming from the government,' he said.
The four-week moving average for continuing claims was 4,672,000, up from the previous week's revised moving average of 4,628,000.
The number came ahead of the government's January unemployment report, due out Friday. The unemployment rate is expected to jump to 7.5 percent in January, up from 7.2 percent the previous month, according to a consensus estimate from Briefing.com. Employers are expected to have slashed 500,000 jobs in the month.

RBI eases rules on access of forex loans by exporters

Exporters facing tough situation due to slump in overseas demand have a reason to cheer. The Reserve Bank of India has relaxed norms pertaining to export credit in the global market, enabling exporters to avail funds from overseas market.
Banks are allowed to raise export credit in foreign currency at 350 basis points (bps), from 100 bps offered by the London Interbank earlier, with immediate effect. However, the banks are not allowed to levy any charges like service tax on the credit availed from global market. The revised rules will be applicable to where Euro- Libor is used as a benchmark.
The Union Government is also weighing other options to help the slowdown hit export industry, directing banks to lend exporters without any reluctance. Exporters have been complaining that banks are not lending despite having sufficient liquidity, fearing grimmer situation ahead due to global meltdown.
Fund's cost had also been increased in the international market, in recent times, in the wake of global financial crisis aroused after failure of leading financial institutions of the world.

Economists: rising unemployment becomes China's top challenge

BEIJING, Feb. 7 (Xinhua) -- A survey conducted by China Economic Monitoring and Analysis Center predicted that rising unemployment would be the biggest challenge for China's economy this year.
The survey showed, more than 90 percent of the 100 economists surveyed expressed their worries over the country's increasing unemployment rate, which had added woes to a world economic downturn.
Chairman and chief executive officer of TX Investment Consulting Co., Lin Yixiang was quoted by China Daily as saying that the survey indicated the government policies should be directed at addressing unemployment.
The government estimates about 20 million rural migrants, or 15.3 percent of all rural workers employed outside their hometowns, have returned home without jobs.
Meanwhile. urban unemployment rate, which excludes migrant workers, was estimated to hit 4.6 percent in 2009, up from 4.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008.
The number reflects a harder-than-expected blow from the global financial crisis, Tang Min, deputy secretary of the China Development Research Foundation, was quoted by China Daily as saying.
Worldwide global financial crisis has put the country's economic growth under great pressure. China's economy cooled to its slowest pace in seven years in 2008, expanding 9 percent year-on-year, according to data released by NBS.
The 9-percent rate was the lowest since 2001, when an annual rate of 8.3 percent was recorded, and it was the first time China's GDP growth fell into the single-digit range since 2003.
To cope with this, the government has launched a 4 trillion economic stimulus package last November, in a bid to expend investment in infrastructure and prevent economy from cooling too fast.
As for this, 86 percent of economists said the government should focus its fiscal policy on social spending, including education, medical care and improving the social security system.

BC's Economytoday

Currency:1 Indian Rupee (INR) (₨) = 100 Paise
Fiscal year: April 1–March 31
Trade organisations: WTO, SAFTA
GDP (PPP): $3.305 trillion (2008 est.)
GDP growth: 7.1% (2008-2009)
GDP per capita: $2,600 (PPP)
GDP by sector
agriculture: 17.8%, industry: 29.4%, services: 52.8% (2007 est.)
Inflation (CPI): 0.7% (CPI) (feb 2009)
Populationbelow poverty line:: 27.5% (2008 est.)
Labour force: 516.4 million (2007 est.)
Labour forceby occupation
agriculture: 60%, industry: 12%, services: 28% (2003)
Unemployment: 7.2% (2007 est.)
Main industries:
textiles, chemicals, food processing, steel, transportation equipment, cement, mining, petroleum, machinery, software, services
Exports:
$163 billion (Financial Year 2007-2008)
Export goods:
petroleum products, textile goods, gems and jewelry, engineering goods, chemicals, leather manufactures
Main export partners
US 15%, the People's Republic of China 8.7%, UAE 8.7%, UK 4.4% (2007)
Imports
$230.5 billion f.o.b. (2007 est.)
Import goods
crude oil, machinery, gems, fertilizer, chemicals
Main import partners
the People's Republic of China 10.6%, US 7.8%, Germany 4.4%, Singapore 4.4%
Public Debt: $149.2 billion (2007)
Revenues: $141.2 billion (2007 est.)
Expenses: $172.6 billion (2007 est.)

Concept of this month: Corporate Governance

Corporate governance is the set of processes, customs, policies, laws, and institutions affecting the way a corporation is directed, administered or controlled. Corporate governance also includes the relationships among the many stakeholders involved and the goals for which the corporation is governed. The principal stakeholders are the shareholders, management, and the board of directors. Other stakeholders include labor(employees), customers, creditors (e.g., banks, bond holders), suppliers, regulators, and the community at large.
Corporate governance is a multi-faceted subject.[1] An important theme of corporate governance is to ensure the accountability of certain individuals in an organization through mechanisms that try to reduce or eliminate the principal-agent problem. A related but separate thread of discussions focuses on the impact of a corporate governance system in economic efficiency, with a strong emphasis shareholders' welfare. There are yet other aspects to the corporate governance subject, such as the stakeholder view and the corporate governance models around the world (see section 9 below).
There has been renewed interest in the corporate governance practices of modern corporations since 2001, particularly due to the high-profile collapses of a number of large U.S. firms such as Enron Corporation and Worldcom. In 2002, the U.S. federal government passed the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, intending to restore public confidence in corporate governance.
In A Board Culture of Corporate Governance business author Gabrielle O'Donovan defines corporate governance as 'an internal system encompassing policies, processes and people, which serves the needs of shareholders and other stakeholders, by directing and controlling management activities with good business savvy, objectivity, accountability and integrity. Sound corporate governance is reliant on external marketplace commitment and legislation, plus a healthy board culture which safeguards policies and processes'.
O'Donovan goes on to say that 'the perceived quality of a company's corporate governance can influence its share price as well as the cost of raising capital. Quality is determined by the financial markets, legislation and other external market forces plus how policies and processes are implemented and how people are led. External forces are, to a large extent, outside the circle of control of any board. The internal environment is quite a different matter, and offers companies the opportunity to differentiate from competitors through their board culture. To date, too much of corporate governance debate has centred on legislative policy, to deter fraudulent activities and transparency policy which misleads executives to treat the symptoms and not the cause.'[2]
It is a system of structuring, operating and controlling a company with a view to achieve long term strategic goals to satisfy shareholders, creditors, employees, customers and suppliers, and complying with the legal and regulatory requirements, apart from meeting environmental and local community needs.
Report of SEBI committee (India) on Corporate Governance defines corporate governance as the acceptance by management of the inalienable rights of shareholders as the true owners of the corporation and of their own role as trustees on behalf of the shareholders. It is about commitment to values, about ethical business conduct and about making a distinction between personal & corporate funds in the management of a company.” The definition is drawn from the Gandhian principle of trusteeship and the Directive Principles of the Indian Constitution. Corporate Governance is viewed as ethics and a moral duty.
In the 19th century, state corporation laws enhanced the rights of corporate boards to govern without unanimous consent of shareholders in exchange for statutory benefits like appraisal rights, to make corporate governance more efficient. Since that time, and because most large publicly traded corporations in the US are incorporated under corporate administration friendly Delaware law, and because the US's wealth has been increasingly securitized into various corporate entities and institutions, the rights of individual owners and shareholders have become increasingly derivative and dissipated. The concerns of shareholders over administration pay and stock losses periodically has led to more frequent calls for corporate governance reforms.
In the 20th century in the immediate aftermath of the Wall Street Crash of 1929 legal scholars such as Adolf Augustus Berle, Edwin Dodd, and Gardiner C. Means pondered on the changing role of the modern corporation in society. Berle and Means' monograph "The Modern Corporation and Private Property" (1932, Macmillan) continues to have a profound influence on the conception of corporate governance in scholarly debates today.
From the Chicago school of economics, Ronald Coase's "The Nature of the Firm" (1937) introduced the notion of transaction costs into the understanding of why firms are founded and how they continue to behave. Fifty years later, Eugene Fama and Michael Jensen's "The Separation of Ownership and Control" (1983, Journal of Law and Economics) firmly established agency theory as a way of understanding corporate governance: the firm is seen as a series of contracts. Agency theory's dominance was highlighted in a 1989 article by Kathleen Eisenhardt (Academy of Management Review).
US expansion after World War II through the emergence of multinational corporations saw the establishment of the managerial class. Accordingly, the following Harvard Business School management professors published influential monographs studying their prominence: Myles Mace (entrepreneurship), Alfred D. Chandler, Jr. (business history), Jay Lorsch (organizational behavior) and Elizabeth MacIver (organizational behavior). According to Lorsch and MacIver "many large corporations have dominant control over business affairs without sufficient accountability or monitoring by their board of directors."
Since the late 1970’s, corporate governance has been the subject of significant debate in the U.S. and around the globe. Bold, broad efforts to reform corporate governance have been driven, in part, by the needs and desires of shareowners to exercise their rights of corporate ownership and to increase the value of their shares and, therefore, wealth. Over the past three decades, corporate directors’ duties have expanded greatly beyond their traditional legal responsibility of duty of loyalty to the corporation and its shareowners.[3]
In the first half of the 1990s, the issue of corporate governance in the U.S. received considerable press attention due to the wave of CEO dismissals (e.g.: IBM, Kodak, Honeywell) by their boards. The California Public Employees' Retirement System (CalPERS) led a wave of institutional shareholder activism (something only very rarely seen before), as a way of ensuring that corporate value would not be destroyed by the now traditionally cozy relationships between the CEO and the board of directors (e.g., by the unrestrained issuance of stock options, not infrequently back dated).
In 1997, the East Asian Financial Crisis saw the economies of Thailand, Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia and The Philippines severely affected by the exit of foreign capital after property assets collapsed. The lack of corporate governance mechanisms in these countries highlighted the weaknesses of the institutions in their economies.
In the early 2000s, the massive bankruptcies (and criminal malfeasance) of Enron and Worldcom, as well as lesser corporate debacles, such as Adelphia Communications, AOL, Arthur Andersen, Global Crossing, Tyco, and, more recently, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, led to increased shareholder and governmental interest in corporate governance. This is reflected in the passage of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
Impact of Corporate GovernanceThe positive effect of good corporate governance on different stakeholders ultimately is a strengthened economy, and hence good corporate governance is a tool for socio-economic development

Cartoon of this month: Teamwork






Quote of this month

" The auditors will have to be independent. Thats why they are called independent directors. They should not be under the thumb of the management"
- N.R.Narayanamurthy, Chief Mentor, Infosys technologies.


"One bad apple does not mean the whole barrel is bad"
- David milliband, British foreign secretary(about satyam crisis)

"We can continue the fiscal stimulus in the next year. It can be done as part of the full budget...In my view there would be a continuing need for fiscal stimulus and I hope we can do that"

-Montek sigh ahluwalia, Planning commisionner